Commerce Midcap Value Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CFMVX Fund   25.37  0.19  0.75%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.77, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Commerce Midcap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Commerce Midcap is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Midcap Value are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Commerce Midcap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Cathie Woods ARK Funds Have Crushed the Market This Year. Whats Shes Buying Now. - Barrons
12/30/2025
  

Commerce Midcap Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,206  in Commerce Midcap Value on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  331.00  from holding Commerce Midcap Value or generate 15.0% return on investment over 90 days. Commerce Midcap Value is currently producing 0.2376% returns and takes up 0.9372% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Commerce, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commerce Midcap is expected to generate 1.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Commerce Midcap Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
25.37
Please note that Commerce Midcap's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the entity is undervalued. Commerce Midcap Value shows a prevailing Real Value of USD27.11 per share. The current price of the fund is USD25.37. Our model approximates the value of Commerce Midcap Value from analyzing the entity technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Commerce Midcap is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Commerce Mutual Fund. However, Commerce Midcap's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  25.37 Real  27.11 Hype  25.36 Naive  25.18
The intrinsic value of Commerce Midcap's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Commerce Midcap's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.11
Real Value
28.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Commerce Midcap Value helps investors to forecast how Commerce mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Commerce Midcap more accurately as focusing exclusively on Commerce Midcap's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8824.7125.54
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4225.3626.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
24.2425.1826.12
Details

Commerce Midcap Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Commerce Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.37 90 days 25.37 
about 5.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commerce Midcap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.5 (This Commerce Midcap Value probability density function shows the probability of Commerce Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commerce Midcap has a beta of 0.77 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Commerce Midcap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Commerce Midcap Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Commerce Midcap Value has an alpha of 0.157, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Commerce Midcap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Commerce Midcap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commerce Midcap Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commerce Midcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4225.3626.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8327.1128.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2425.1826.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8824.7125.54
Details

Commerce Midcap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commerce Midcap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commerce Midcap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commerce Midcap Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commerce Midcap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
1.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Commerce Midcap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commerce Midcap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commerce Midcap Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Commerce Midcap Fundamentals Growth

Commerce Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Commerce Midcap, and Commerce Midcap fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Commerce Mutual Fund performance.

About Commerce Midcap Performance

Evaluating Commerce Midcap's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Commerce Midcap has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Commerce Midcap has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets plus any borrowings for investment purposes in stocks, primarily common stocks, of mid-cap issuers. These issuers will have public stock market capitalizations within the range of the market capitalization of companies constituting the Russell Midcap Value Index at the time of investment. The equity capitalization range of public companies in the index was 451 Million to 54.5 Billion as of September 30, 2023.

Things to note about Commerce Midcap Value performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Commerce Midcap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Commerce Midcap Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
Evaluating Commerce Midcap's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Commerce Midcap's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Commerce Midcap's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Commerce Midcap's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Commerce Midcap's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Commerce Midcap's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Commerce Midcap's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Commerce Midcap's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Commerce Midcap's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Commerce Midcap's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Commerce Midcap's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Commerce Mutual Fund

Commerce Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commerce Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commerce with respect to the benefits of owning Commerce Midcap security.
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